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Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)

Specialty Retail ยท Consumer Cyclical ยท $3.6B

overvalued
Intrinsic Value (Consensus)
$11.78
Current Price
$60.12
Margin of Safety
-80.4%
80.4% Above Intrinsic Value
Value: $12
Price: $60

Valuation Model Estimates

Current Price: $60.12
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$8.72
Graham Number
$24.43
Earnings Power Value
$6.81
Relative Value (P/E)
$14.48
Dividend Discount Model
$4.44
Consensus Value
$11.78

Model Assumptions

Discount Rate
10.3%
Growth Rate
5.0%
Terminal Growth
2.5%
Risk-Free Rate
4.3%

Discount rate derived from CAPM (risk-free rate + beta ร— market risk premium). Growth rate based on trailing earnings growth, capped at 20%.

Health Score

F
28
Profitability
12/25
Strength
5/25
Valuation
7/25
Growth
4/25

Financial Health Signals

Negative free cash flow โ€” company is burning cash
Elevated debt โ€” Debt/Equity ratio is 155%
Declining revenue โ€” top line is shrinking

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)
$0.72
EPS (Forward)
$0.76
Book Value
$36.63
P/E Ratio
20.0
Forward P/E
19.0
PEG Ratio
โ€”
ROE
2.0%
Debt/Equity
155%
Revenue Growth
-5.4%
Earnings Growth
5.0%
Dividend Yield
1.7%
Beta
1.05

Data last updated: 2026-06-21

Source: Yahoo Finance