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Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

Specialty Retail ยท Consumer Cyclical ยท $2.63T

overvalued
Intrinsic Value (Consensus)
$110.15
Current Price
$244.43
Margin of Safety
-54.9%
54.9% Above Intrinsic Value
Value: $110
Price: $244

Valuation Model Estimates

Current Price: $244.43
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$158.31
Graham Number
$84.83
Earnings Power Value
$63.17
Relative Value (P/E)
$134.29
Dividend Discount Model
Not applicable
โ€”
Consensus Value
$110.15

Model Assumptions

Discount Rate
10.3%
Growth Rate
16.1%
Terminal Growth
2.5%
Risk-Free Rate
4.3%

Discount rate derived from CAPM (risk-free rate + beta ร— market risk premium). Growth rate based on trailing earnings growth, capped at 20%.

Health Score

B
69
Profitability
22/25
Strength
24/25
Valuation
4/25
Growth
19/25

Financial Health Signals

Low debt โ€” conservative balance sheet
Strong earnings growth (16% YoY)

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)
$8.37
EPS (Forward)
$9.71
Book Value
$38.22
P/E Ratio
33.3
Forward P/E
27.7
PEG Ratio
โ€”
ROE
18.9%
Debt/Equity
17%
Revenue Growth
12.4%
Earnings Growth
16.1%
Dividend Yield
N/A
Beta
1.49

Data last updated: 2026-06-21

Source: Yahoo Finance

About Amazon.com, Inc.

Amazon started as a bookstore and became the everything store โ€” then quietly became something even bigger: the company that rents computing power to the rest of the internet.

Jeff Bezos left a Wall Street hedge fund in 1994 with a plan to sell books online. He chose books because they were commoditized (every copy identical), the catalog was enormous (3 million titles vs 200,000 in a big bookstore), and no physical store could compete on selection. He packed boxes in his garage and drove them to the post office himself. Within two years, Amazon had $15 million in revenue.

Today Amazon operates three massive businesses. E-commerce (the online marketplace) generates the most revenue but thin margins. Amazon Web Services (AWS) โ€” cloud computing launched in 2006 โ€” generates the most profit, providing servers, databases, and AI infrastructure to millions of businesses from startups to Netflix to the CIA. Advertising (product search ads on Amazon.com) is the fastest-growing segment and nearly pure profit.

Amazon's moat is a flywheel that feeds itself. More sellers attract more buyers. More buyers attract more sellers. More volume enables lower prices. Lower prices attract more buyers. Prime membership (200+ million subscribers) locks customers in with free shipping, video streaming, and grocery delivery โ€” making Amazon the default first place people look. For AWS, switching costs are enormous โ€” migrating databases and applications off AWS takes years.

The key risk is margin compression. Amazon's retail business operates on razor-thin margins by choice (Bezos: "Your margin is my opportunity"). If AWS growth slows or competition from Azure/GCP intensifies, Amazon's overall profitability could suffer. Regulatory scrutiny over marketplace dominance and labor practices also looms.