Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate · $1.5B
Intrinsic Value (Consensus)
$15.29
Current Price
$10.84
Margin of Safety
+41.1%
41.1% Below Intrinsic Value
Value: $15
Price: $11
Valuation Model Estimates
Current Price: $10.84
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$20.85
Graham Number
$16.68
Earnings Power Value
$7.08
Relative Value (P/E)
$16.54
Dividend Discount Model
$5.14
Consensus Value
$15.29
Model Assumptions
Discount Rate
10.3%
Growth Rate
18.2%
Terminal Growth
2.5%
Risk-Free Rate
4.3%
Discount rate derived from CAPM (risk-free rate + beta × market risk premium). Growth rate based on trailing earnings growth, capped at 20%.
Health Score
B
71
Profitability
15/25
Strength
24/25
Valuation
22/25
Growth
10/25
Financial Health Signals
Declining revenue — top line is shrinking
Low debt — conservative balance sheet
Strong earnings growth (18% YoY)
High free cash flow yield (8.2%) — generating lots of cash relative to price
Key Financials
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.91
- EPS (Forward)
- $1.08
- Book Value
- $13.58
- P/E Ratio
- 20.0
- Forward P/E
- 19.0
- PEG Ratio
- —
- ROE
- 6.8%
- Debt/Equity
- 12%
- Revenue Growth
- -10.6%
- Earnings Growth
- 18.2%
- Dividend Yield
- 1.5%
- Beta
- 1.43
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Data last updated: 2026-06-21
Source: Yahoo Finance