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First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG)

Retail-Eating Places ยท Consumer Discretionary ยท $715M

overvalued
Intrinsic Value (Consensus)
$5.88
Current Price
$11.60
Margin of Safety
-49.3%
49.3% Above Intrinsic Value
Value: $6
Price: $12

Valuation Model Estimates

Current Price: $11.60
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
Not applicable
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Graham Number
$8.42
Earnings Power Value
$3.01
Relative Value (P/E)
$6.20
Dividend Discount Model
Not applicable
โ€”
Consensus Value
$5.88

Model Assumptions

Discount Rate
10.3%
Growth Rate
3.3%
Terminal Growth
2.5%
Risk-Free Rate
4.3%

Discount rate derived from CAPM (risk-free rate + beta ร— market risk premium). Growth rate based on trailing earnings growth, capped at 20%.

Health Score

D
42
Profitability
12/25
Strength
7/25
Valuation
7/25
Growth
16/25

Financial Health Signals

Negative free cash flow โ€” company is burning cash

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)
$0.31
EPS (Forward)
$0.32
Book Value
$10.16
P/E Ratio
20.0
Forward P/E
19.4
PEG Ratio
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ROE
3.1%
Debt/Equity
โ€”
Revenue Growth
20.3%
Earnings Growth
3.3%
Dividend Yield
N/A
Beta
1.00

Data last updated: 2026-06-16

Source: Yahoo Finance