Alaska Air Group, Inc. logo

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK)

Airlines, Airports & Air Services ยท Industrials ยท $5.5B

overvalued
Intrinsic Value (Consensus)
$11.59
Current Price
$49.27
Margin of Safety
-76.5%
76.5% Above Intrinsic Value
Value: $12
Price: $49

Valuation Model Estimates

Current Price: $49.27
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$13.52
Graham Number
$21.11
Earnings Power Value
$4.43
Relative Value (P/E)
$9.70
Dividend Discount Model
$9.19
Consensus Value
$11.59

Model Assumptions

Discount Rate
10.3%
Growth Rate
18.1%
Terminal Growth
2.5%
Risk-Free Rate
4.3%

Discount rate derived from CAPM (risk-free rate + beta ร— market risk premium). Growth rate based on trailing earnings growth, capped at 20%.

Health Score

D
46
Profitability
12/25
Strength
5/25
Valuation
7/25
Growth
22/25

Financial Health Signals

Negative free cash flow โ€” company is burning cash
Elevated debt โ€” Debt/Equity ratio is 129%
Strong earnings growth (18% YoY)

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)
$0.54
EPS (Forward)
$0.63
Book Value
$36.98
P/E Ratio
20.0
Forward P/E
19.6
PEG Ratio
โ€”
ROE
2.4%
Debt/Equity
129%
Revenue Growth
21.3%
Earnings Growth
18.1%
Dividend Yield
2.3%
Beta
1.30

Data last updated: 2026-06-21

Source: Yahoo Finance