GEO GROUP INC (GEO)
General Bldg Contractors - Residential Bldgs · Industrials · $3.8B
Intrinsic Value (Consensus)
$25.18
Current Price
$28.63
Margin of Safety
-12.1%
12.1% Above Intrinsic Value
Value: $25
Price: $29
Valuation Model Estimates
Current Price: $28.63
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
Not applicable
—
Graham Number
$21.48
Earnings Power Value
$17.67
Relative Value (P/E)
$36.40
Dividend Discount Model
Not applicable
—
Consensus Value
$25.18
Model Assumptions
Discount Rate
10.3%
Growth Rate
20.0%
Terminal Growth
2.5%
Risk-Free Rate
4.3%
Discount rate derived from CAPM (risk-free rate + beta × market risk premium). Growth rate based on trailing earnings growth, capped at 20%.
Health Score
C
55
Profitability
22/25
Strength
5/25
Valuation
12/25
Growth
16/25
Financial Health Signals
Negative free cash flow — company is burning cash
Elevated debt — Debt/Equity ratio is 111%
Strong earnings growth (20% YoY)
Key Financials
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.82
- EPS (Forward)
- $2.18
- Book Value
- $11.26
- P/E Ratio
- 20.0
- Forward P/E
- 16.7
- PEG Ratio
- —
- ROE
- 16.9%
- Debt/Equity
- 111%
- Revenue Growth
- 8.6%
- Earnings Growth
- 20.0%
- Dividend Yield
- N/A
- Beta
- 1.00
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Data last updated: 2026-06-16
Source: Yahoo Finance