Tesla, Inc. logo

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies ยท Industrials ยท $1.52T

overvalued
Intrinsic Value (Consensus)
$17.38
Current Price
$404.66
Margin of Safety
-95.7%
95.7% Above Intrinsic Value
Value: $17
Price: $405

Valuation Model Estimates

Current Price: $404.66
DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)
$19.26
Graham Number
$23.21
Earnings Power Value
$7.24
Relative Value (P/E)
$19.79
Dividend Discount Model
Not applicable
โ€”
Consensus Value
$17.38

Model Assumptions

Discount Rate
10.3%
Growth Rate
18.1%
Terminal Growth
2.5%
Risk-Free Rate
4.3%

Discount rate derived from CAPM (risk-free rate + beta ร— market risk premium). Growth rate based on trailing earnings growth, capped at 20%.

Health Score

C
51
Profitability
12/25
Strength
22/25
Valuation
7/25
Growth
10/25

Financial Health Signals

Declining revenue โ€” top line is shrinking
Low debt โ€” conservative balance sheet
Strong earnings growth (18% YoY)

Key Financials

EPS (TTM)
$1.09
EPS (Forward)
$1.29
Book Value
$21.87
P/E Ratio
20.0
Forward P/E
19.6
PEG Ratio
โ€”
ROE
4.6%
Debt/Equity
8%
Revenue Growth
-2.9%
Earnings Growth
18.1%
Dividend Yield
N/A
Beta
1.80

Data last updated: 2026-06-16

Source: Yahoo Finance

About Tesla, Inc.

Tesla proved that electric cars could be desirable โ€” not just responsible โ€” and in doing so, forced the entire automotive industry to pivot away from gasoline a decade earlier than planned.

Elon Musk didn't found Tesla โ€” Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning did in 2003. But Musk led the Series A investment, became chairman, and eventually CEO. The original strategy was deliberately counterintuitive: start with an expensive sports car (Roadster), use those profits to fund a luxury sedan (Model S), then scale down to a mass-market car (Model 3). Each generation funded the next. The Model 3, launched in 2017, became one of the best-selling cars in the world.

Tesla makes money selling vehicles (about 80% of revenue), energy storage products (Powerwall, Megapack for utilities), and increasingly through services and software. The company's integrated approach โ€” designing its own batteries, software, AI chips, and manufacturing processes โ€” gives it structural cost advantages as it scales.

Tesla's moat comes from vertical integration and software. While legacy automakers bolt together parts from hundreds of suppliers, Tesla designs the full stack: battery chemistry, power electronics, autonomous driving software, and even the factory robots. Over-the-air software updates mean a Tesla improves after purchase โ€” a concept foreign to traditional cars. The Supercharger network (now being adopted by other manufacturers) adds another lock-in layer.

The key risk is valuation versus fundamentals. Tesla is priced not as a car company but as a technology company that will dominate autonomous driving, robotics, and energy. If full self-driving remains elusive, if Chinese competitors (BYD) erode margins, or if Musk's attention is divided across too many ventures, the stock's premium could compress dramatically. Traditional automakers are now shipping competitive EVs at lower prices.